IPCĆ iśuz ‘blīcist wornñ yt’ on impacts v clîṃt brecdǎn
(Transcription of an article published in the Guardian on 28 February 2022)
Rport sz hymn ax́nz r cōzñ denjṛs dsrupśn, n windo t s’kr a liṿbl fyćr z clozñ
Fiona Harvi, Invîrnmnt corispondnt, Munde 28 Febrri 2022
Clîṃt brecdǎn z axeḷretñ rapidli, mni v ɖ impacts wl b mor svir ɖn pridictd n ɖr z onli a naro ćans left v avôdñ its wrst ravjz, ɖ Inṭguvnmntl Panl on Clîṃtćenj (IPCĆ) hz sd.
Īvn at cuṛnt levlz, hymn ax́nz in hītñ ɖ clîṃt r cōzñ denjṛs n wîdspred dsrupśn, ʈreṭnñ devsteśn t sweɖz v ɖ naćṛl wrld n renḍrñ mni eriaz unliṿbl, acordñ t ɖ landmarc rport publiśt on Munde.
“Ɖ sạntific evidns z uniqivcl: clîṃtćenj z a ʈret t hymn welbiyñ n ɖ hlʈ v ɖ planit,” sd Hanz-Oto Pörtner, a co-ćer v wrcñgrūp 2 v ɖ IPCĆ. “Eni frɖr dle in cnsrtd globl ax́n wl mis a brīf n rapidli clozñ windo t s’kr a liṿbl fyćr.”
Drǎts, fludz, hītwevz
In ẃt sm sayntists trmd “ɖ blīcist wornñ yt”, ɖ súṃri rport fṛm ɖ globl oʈoṛti on clîṃtsayns sz drǎts, fludz, hītwevz n uɖr xtrim weɖr r axeḷretñ n rīcñ incrisñ damij.
‘Atḷs v hymn suḟrñ’
António Guterres, ɖ YN secṛtri jenṛl, sd: “I hv sìn mni sạntific rports in mî tîm, bt nʈñ lîc ɖs. Tde’z IPCĆ rport z an atḷs v hymn suḟrñ n a dámñ indîtmnt v feld clîṃtlīdrśp.”
Ɖ rport sz:
- Evrẃr z afctd, wɖ no inhaḅtd rījn iscepñ dîr impacts fṛm rîzñ tmpṛćrz n incrisñli xtrim weɖr.
- Abt haf ɖ globl popyleśn – btwn 3.3 biłn n 3.6 biłn ppl – liv in eriaz “hîli vulnṛbl” t clîṃtćenj.
- Miłnz v ppl fes fūd n wōtr śorṭjz owñ t clîṃtćenj, īvn at cuṛnt levlz v hītñ.
- Mas dî-offs v spīśīz, fṛm triz t coṛlz, r olrdi undr we.
- 1.5S abv priindustrịl levlz consttyts a “criticl levl” bynd ẃć ɖ impacts v ɖ clîṃtcrîsis axeḷret stroñli n sm bcm irivrsbl.
- Costl eriaz arnd ɖ glob, n smōl, lo-layñ îḷndz, fes inndeśn at tmpṛćŗîzz v mor ɖn 1.5S.
- Ci īcosistmz r luzñ ɖer abiḷti t abzorb carbndîoxîd, trnñ ɖm fṛm carbn sncs t carbnsorsz.
- Sm cuntriz hv agrìd t cnsrv 30% v ɖ Rʈ’s land, bt cnsrvñ haf me b nesṣri t rstor ɖ abiḷti v naćṛl īcosistmz t cǒp wɖ ɖ damij rīct on ɖm.
Ćans t avôd ɖ wrst
Ɖs z ɖ secnd part v ɖ IPCĆ’z lêtist asesmnt rport, an updetd, comprihnsiv rvy v globl nolij v ɖ clîṃt, ẃć hz bn sevn yirz in ɖ mcñ n drwz on ɖ pir-rvyd wrc v ʈǎzndz v sayntists. Ɖ asesmnt rport z ɖ sixʈ sins ɖ IPCĆ wz frst cnvind bî ɖ YN in 1988, n me b ɖ last t b publiśt ẃl ɖr z stl sm ćans v avôdñ ɖ wrst.
A frst instōlmnt, bî ɖ IPCĆ’z wrcñgrūp 1, publiśt last Ōġst, on ɖ fizicl sayns v clîṃtćenj, sd ɖ clîṃtcrîsis wz “uniqivcli” cōzd bî hymn ax́nz, rzultñ in ćenjz ɖt wr “unpresdntd”, wɖ sm bcmñ “irivrsbl”.
Ɖs secnd part, bî wrcñgrūp 2, dīlz wɖ ɖ impacts v clîṃt brecdǎn, sets ǎt eriaz ẃr ɖ wrld z most vulnṛbl, n dītelz hǎ w cn trî t adapt n pṛtct agnst sm v ɖ impacts. A ʈrd sx́n, dy in Epril, wl cuvr wez t cut grīnhǎs-gas imiśnz, n ɖ fînl part, in Octobr, wl súṃrîz ɖz lésnz fr guvnmnts mītñ in Ījipt fr ɖ YN Cop27 clîṃtsumit.
‘Caṭclizmic’ fr smōl îḷndz
Smōl îḷndz wl b amñ ɖoz wrst afctd. Woltn Websn, an ambasdr v Antīga n Barbūda n ɖ ćer v ɖ Alayns v Smōl-Îḷnd Stets, cōld ɖ fîndñz “caṭclizmic”.
H rjd ɖ YN t cnvin a speśl seśn t cnsidr ax́n. “W r cntinywñ t hed fr a preṣpis – w se ǎr îz r opn t ɖ riscs, bt ẃn y lc at globl imiśnz, f enʈñ w r axeḷretñ twdz ɖ clif éj. W r nt siyñ ɖ ax́n fṛm ɖ big imitrz ɖt z rqîrd t gt imiśnz dǎn in ɖs criticl deced – ɖs mīnz hāvñ imiśnz bî 2030 at ɖ lêtist. It z clir ɖt tîm z slipñ awe fṛm s.”
Guvnmnts in uɖr parts v ɖ wrld cd hlp ɖer ppl t adapt t sm v ɖ impacts v ɖ clîṃtcrîsis, ɖ rport sz, bî bildñ flud dfnsz, hlpñ farmrz t gro difṛnt crops, or bildñ mor rziłnt infṛstrucćr. Bt ɖ oʈrz se ɖ cpaṣti v ɖ wrld t adapt t ɖ impacts wl dminiś rapidli ɖ frɖr tmpṛćrz rîz, qcli rīćñ “hard” limits bynd ẃć adapteśn wd b imposbl.
‘Globl doṃnoz’
Ɖ clîṃtcrîsis olso hz ɖ pǎr t wrsn probḷmz sć az hungr, il-hlʈ n poṿti, ɖ rport mcs clir. Dev Rei, ɖ d’rectr v Ednbra Clîṃtćenj Insttyt at ɖ Yṇvrṣti v Ednbra, sd: “Lîc tecñ a recñbōl t a set v globl doṃnoz, clîṃtćenj in ɖ 21st snć̣ri ʈretnz t dstrô ɖ fǎndeśnz v fūd n wōtr s’kṛti, smaś onẉdz ʈru ɖ frajîl strucćrz v hymn n īcosistm hlʈ, n ultiṃtli śec ɖ vri pilrz v hymn siṿlîześn.”
Ɖ rport plez dǎn firz v conflicts arîzñ fṛm ɖ clîṃtcrîsis, fîndñ ɖt “dsplesmnt” n “invoḷntri mîgreśn” v ppl wd insy bt ɖt “nonclimatic factrz r ɖ dominnt drîvrz v xistñ intṛstet vayḷnt conflicts”.
Bt Jefri Kargel, a sīńr sayntist at ɖ Planitri-Sayns Insttyt in ɖ YS, sd: “Ɖ cuṛnt worfér activti in īstn Yṛp, ɖo nt atribytbl t clîṃtćenj, z a frɖr cōśn abt hǎ hymn tnśnz n inṭnaśnl rleśnz n jiopoḷtics cd bcm inflemd az clîṃtćenj impacts hit neśnz in wez ɖt ɖe r il-priperd t handl.”
