Fṛm Đ Gardịn: IPCC issues ‘bleakest warning yet’ on impacts of climate breakdown

Wildfires tearing through a forest in the Chefchaouen region of northern Morocco. Photograph: Fadel Senna/AFP/Getty Images
Wîldfîrz tẹrñ ʈru a forist in ɖ Śefśǎén rījn v norɖn Mroco. Foṭgraf: Fadél Sena/AFP/Geti Iṃjz

IPCĆ iśuz ‘blīcist wornñ yt’ on impacts v clîṃt brecdǎn

(Transcription of an article published in the Guardian on 28 February 2022)

Rport sz hymn ax́nz r cōzñ denjṛs dsrupśn, n windo t s’kr a liṿbl fyćr z clozñ

Fiona Harvey

Fiona Harvi, Invîrnmnt corispondnt, Munde 28 Febrri 2022

Clîṃt brecdǎn z axeḷretñ rapidli, mni v ɖ impacts wl b mor svir ɖn pridictd n ɖr z onli a naro ćans left v avôdñ its wrst ravjz, ɖ Inṭguvnmntl Panl on Clîṃtćenj (IPCĆ) hz sd.

Īvn at cuṛnt levlz, hymn ax́nz in hītñ ɖ clîṃt r cōzñ denjṛs n wîdspred dsrupśn, ʈreṭnñ devsteśn t sweɖz v ɖ naćṛl wrld n renḍrñ mni eriaz unliṿbl, acordñ t ɖ landmarc rport publiśt on Munde.

“Ɖ sạntific evidns z uniqivcl: clîṃtćenj z a ʈret t hymn welbiyñ n ɖ hlʈ v ɖ planit,” sd Hanz-Oto Pörtner, a co-ćer v wrcñgrūp 2 v ɖ IPCĆ. “Eni frɖr dle in cnsrtd globl ax́n wl mis a brīf n rapidli clozñ windo t s’kr a liṿbl fyćr.”

Drǎts, fludz, hītwevz

In ẃt sm sayntists trmd “ɖ blīcist wornñ yt”, ɖ súṃri rport fṛm ɖ globl oʈoṛti on clîṃtsayns sz drǎts, fludz, hītwevz n uɖr xtrim weɖr r axeḷretñ n rīcñ incrisñ damij.

Alawñ globl tmpṛćrz t incris bî mor ɖn 1.5S abv priindustrịl levlz, az lcs lîcli on cuṛnt trendz in grīnhǎs-gas imiśnz, wd rzult in sm “irivrsbl” impacts. Ɖz includ ɖ mltñ v îscaps n gleśrz, n a cascedñ ifct ẃr-bî wîldfîrz, ɖ dî-of v triz, ɖ drayñ v pītlandz n ɖ ʈw̃ v prṃfrost rlis adiśnl carbn imiśnz, ampḷfayñ ɖ wormñ frɖr.

‘Atḷs v hymn suḟrñ’

António Guterres, ɖ YN secṛtri jenṛl, sd: “I hv sìn mni sạntific rports in mî tîm, bt nʈñ lîc ɖs. Tde’z IPCĆ rport z an atḷs v hymn suḟrñ n a dámñ indîtmnt v feld clîṃtlīdrśp.”

Jon Ceri, ɖ YS speśl preẓdnśl envô fr clîṃt, sd ɖ rport “pents a dîr picćr v ɖ impacts olrdi ocŕñ bcz v a wormr wrld n ɖ teṛbl riscs t ǎr planit f w cntiny t ignor sayns. W hv sìn ɖ incris in clîṃt-fyld xtrim ivnts, n ɖ damij ɖt z left bhnd – lîvz lost n lîvlihdz ruind. Ɖ qsćn at ɖs pônt z nt ẃɖr w cn oltgɖr avôd ɖ crîsis – it z ẃɖr w cn avôd ɖ wrst consiqnsz.”

Ɖ rport sz:

  • Evrẃr z afctd, wɖ no inhaḅtd rījn iscepñ dîr impacts fṛm rîzñ tmpṛćrz n incrisñli xtrim weɖr.
  • Abt haf ɖ globl popyleśn – btwn 3.3 biłn n 3.6 biłn ppl – liv in eriaz “hîli vulnṛbl” t clîṃtćenj.
  • Miłnz v ppl fes fūd n wōtr śorṭjz owñ t clîṃtćenj, īvn at cuṛnt levlz v hītñ.
  • Mas dî-offs v spīśīz, fṛm triz t coṛlz, r olrdi undr we.
  • 1.5S abv priindustrịl levlz consttyts a “criticl levl” bynd ẃć ɖ impacts v ɖ clîṃtcrîsis axeḷret stroñli n sm bcm irivrsbl.
  • Costl eriaz arnd ɖ glob, n smōl, lo-layñ îḷndz, fes inndeśn at tmpṛćŗîzz v mor ɖn 1.5S.
  • Ci īcosistmz r luzñ ɖer abiḷti t abzorb carbndîoxîd, trnñ ɖm fṛm carbn sncs t carbnsorsz.
  • Sm cuntriz hv agrìd t cnsrv 30% v ɖ Rʈ’s land, bt cnsrvñ haf me b nesṣri t rstor ɖ abiḷti v naćṛl īcosistmz t cǒp wɖ ɖ damij rīct on ɖm.

Ćans t avôd ɖ wrst

Ɖs z ɖ secnd part v ɖ IPCĆ’z lêtist asesmnt rport, an updetd, comprihnsiv rvy v globl nolij v ɖ clîṃt, ẃć hz bn sevn yirz in ɖ mcñ n drwz on ɖ pir-rvyd wrc v ʈǎzndz v sayntists. Ɖ asesmnt rport z ɖ sixʈ sins ɖ IPCĆ wz frst cnvind bî ɖ YN in 1988, n me b ɖ last t b publiśt ẃl ɖr z stl sm ćans v avôdñ ɖ wrst.

A frst instōlmnt, bî ɖ IPCĆ’z wrcñgrūp 1, publiśt last Ōġst, on ɖ fizicl sayns v clîṃtćenj, sd ɖ clîṃtcrîsis wz “uniqivcli” cōzd bî hymn ax́nz, rzultñ in ćenjz ɖt wr “unpresdntd”, wɖ sm bcmñ “irivrsbl”.

Ɖs secnd part, bî wrcñgrūp 2, dīlz wɖ ɖ impacts v clîṃt brecdǎn, sets ǎt eriaz ẃr ɖ wrld z most vulnṛbl, n dītelz hǎ w cn trî t adapt n pṛtct agnst sm v ɖ impacts. A ʈrd sx́n, dy in Epril, wl cuvr wez t cut grīnhǎs-gas imiśnz, n ɖ fînl part, in Octobr, wl súṃrîz ɖz lésnz fr guvnmnts mītñ in Ījipt fr ɖ YN Cop27 clîṃtsumit.

‘Caṭclizmic’ fr smōl îḷndz

Smōl îḷndz wl b amñ ɖoz wrst afctd. Woltn Websn, an ambasdr v Antīga n Barbūda n ɖ ćer v ɖ Alayns v Smōl-Îḷnd Stets, cōld ɖ fîndñz “caṭclizmic”.

H rjd ɖ YN t cnvin a speśl seśn t cnsidr ax́n. “W r cntinywñ t hed fr a preṣpis – w se ǎr îz r opn t ɖ riscs, bt ẃn y lc at globl imiśnz, f enʈñ w r axeḷretñ twdz ɖ clif éj. W r nt siyñ ɖ ax́n fṛm ɖ big imitrz ɖt z rqîrd t gt imiśnz dǎn in ɖs criticl deced – ɖs mīnz hāvñ imiśnz bî 2030 at ɖ lêtist. It z clir ɖt tîm z slipñ awe fṛm s.”

Guvnmnts in uɖr parts v ɖ wrld cd hlp ɖer ppl t adapt t sm v ɖ impacts v ɖ clîṃtcrîsis, ɖ rport sz, bî bildñ flud dfnsz, hlpñ farmrz t gro difṛnt crops, or bildñ mor rziłnt infṛstrucćr. Bt ɖ oʈrz se ɖ cpaṣti v ɖ wrld t adapt t ɖ impacts wl dminiś rapidli ɖ frɖr tmpṛćrz rîz, qcli rīćñ “hard” limits bynd ẃć adapteśn wd b imposbl.

‘Globl doṃnoz’

Ɖ clîṃtcrîsis olso hz ɖ pǎr t wrsn probḷmz sć az hungr, il-hlʈ n poṿti, ɖ rport mcs clir. Dev Rei, ɖ d’rectr v Ednbra Clîṃtćenj Insttyt at ɖ Yṇvrṣti v Ednbra, sd: “Lîc tecñ a recñbōl t a set v globl doṃnoz, clîṃtćenj in ɖ 21st snć̣ri ʈretnz t dstrô ɖ fǎndeśnz v fūd n wōtr s’kṛti, smaś onẉdz ʈru ɖ frajîl strucćrz v hymn n īcosistm hlʈ, n ultiṃtli śec ɖ vri pilrz v hymn siṿlîześn.”

Ɖ rport plez dǎn firz v conflicts arîzñ fṛm ɖ clîṃtcrîsis, fîndñ ɖt “dsplesmnt” n “invoḷntri mîgreśn” v ppl wd insy bt ɖt “nonclimatic factrz r ɖ dominnt drîvrz v xistñ intṛstet vayḷnt conflicts”.

Bt Jefri Kargel, a sīńr sayntist at ɖ Planitri-Sayns Insttyt in ɖ YS, sd: “Ɖ cuṛnt worfér activti in īstn Yṛp, ɖo nt atribytbl t clîṃtćenj, z a frɖr cōśn abt hǎ hymn tnśnz n inṭnaśnl rleśnz n jiopoḷtics cd bcm inflemd az clîṃtćenj impacts hit neśnz in wez ɖt ɖe r il-priperd t handl.”

Instroduction to Ñspel

28/02/2022

Comments welcomed

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.