Ɖ Gardịn vy on ɖ clîṃtcrîsis: no end in sît
(Transcription of an editorial published in the Guardian on 28 October 2022)
Ɖ gloḅli agrìd targit v 1.5C z on trac t b míst. Fr ɖoz wrcñ t privnt dzastr, ɖ onli opśn z t cīp trayñ
Frîde 28 Octobr 2022
Ɖ wrld z fōlñ intu an “abis v risc”, sd Pṛf Johan Rockström v ɖ Potsdam Insttyt fr Clîṃt-Impact Rsrć in Jrṃni. Rports publiśt ɖs wīc bî ʈri YN ejnsiz ol pônt t ɖ fełr v guvnmnts t mc – n cīp – sfiśnt cmitmnts t enśur ɖt globl tmpṛćrz wl nt rîz bî mor ɖn 1.5C abv priindustrịl levlz, ẃć wz ɖ targit in ɖ 2015 Paris agrīmnt. Ɖs z ɖ wrst poṣbl nyz, n arîvz jst a wīc bfr ɖs yir’z rǎnd v clîṃt tōcs, Cop27, z dy t opn in Ījipt.
So far hymn activtiz hv rezd ɖ tmpṛćr bî arnd 1C on aṿrij. F cuṛnt plejz on imiśnz r flfild, ɖt figr z xpctd t rîz t 2.5C. Ɖt wd – n probbli wl – mīn dstrux́n on a scel ɖt z hard t imajin, īvn aftr ẃt w hv olrdi witnist, most rīsntli wɖ devstetñ fludz in Pacistan bt olso record-brecñ hītwevz n uɖr xtrim weɖr elsẃr.
Opṭmists cem awe fṛm Cop26 in Glazgo b’livñ ɖt unstedi progres ɖr – ptiklrli in ɖ crūśl eria v YS-Ćîna cooṗreśn – cd b bilt on afṭwdz. Ɖoz hops hv nǎ bn daśt, wɖ onli 24 cuntriz sbmitñ ny planz, noun az naśṇli dtrmind contṛbyśnz (NDCz), ovr ɖ past yir – n īvn ɖ ajustd plejz fōlñ śort v ẃt z nīdd. Clîṃt tipñpônts includñ ɖ c’laps v ɖ Grīnḷnd îsślf, sayntists worn, r bcmñ un’vôḍbl, wɖ rîzz in mīʈen imiśnz in 2021 a ptiklr sors v alarm. Glūṃli, xprts not ɖt Ruśa’z wor on Ycren n wrsnñ rleśnz btwn ɖ wst n Ćîna r lîcli t mc rīćñ agrīmnt at ɖs yir’z confṛns īvn hardr. Ôlcumṗniz’ profits r sōrñ.
In ɖ YC, ɖ ny prîm̦inistr, Riśi Sŭnac, hz md a teribl dsiźn nt t g t Cop27. Gvn ɖt ɖ YC hld ɖ Cop prezidnsi ɖs yir, Grīnpīs’z R’beca Ńsm wz rît t lîcn ɖs no-śo t “a runr felñ t trn p wɖ ɖ batn” in a rīlerês. Mr Sŭnac’z coment ɖt “evrwn śd b riyli prǎd” v ẃt ɖ YC hz aćivd so far sjsts ɖt h z alarmñli ǎt v tuć wɖ ɖ rîzñ ʈret. Ovr rīsnt dez, rports fṛm Pṛf Dem Jeni Harīz n parḷmnt’s jônt naśnl-s’kṛti cmiti hv hîlîtd ɖ multipl riscs t ɖ YC fṛm clîṃtćenj. Pôntñ t a lac v cntinjnsiplanñ fr weɖr-snṣtiv infṛstrucćr, ɖ cmiti rfŕd t a “gepñ houl” at ɖ hart v guvnmnt.
Gvñ p on frɖr progres via ɖ YN proses, n bî uɖr mīnz includñ ny taxz on ôlcumṗniz, z nt an opśn. Globl hītñ v 2.5C z a teṛfayñ prospect, ispeṣ́li fr ɖ miłnz v ppl hu liv in ɖ plesz most denjṛsli xpozd t sīlevl rîzz. Bt it z a les teṛfayñ prospect ɖn ɖ 2.7C v wormñ ɖt wd hv foloud fṛm ɖ Glazgo plejz. Ẃt hz hapnd ovr ɖ past yir z dis’pôntñ n inadiqt, bt cn n mst b bilt upn. N amd ɖs wīc’z grim nyz, a crum v cumḟt cem fṛm ɖ Inṭnaśnl Eṇji Ejnsi, ẃć b’livz hî eṇjiprîsz cōzd bî ɖ wor in Ycren r heṣnñ ɖ trnziśn t clīn eṇji.
Īvn ppl hu unḍstand fŭli ɖ riscs fṛm clîṃtćenj r smtmz rluctnt t pubḷsîz ɖm. Transfmeśn v ɖ globl eṇjisistm, cmbînd wɖ a pacij v fînanśl s’port fr ɖ globl sǎʈ fṛm ɖ norʈ, z arğbli mor lîcli t b aćivd f ppl b’liv ɖt a grīnr fyćr z wɖn rīć. Wɖ ɖ hed v ɖ YN, António Guterres, pridictñ “a globl ctastṛfi”, ɖs wīc ɖt fyćr lcs hoṛbli distnt. Bt ɖ strugl cntinyz.
