Ɖ Gardịn vy on Pūtin’z esc̣leśnz: denjṛs tîmz
(Transcription of an editorial published in the Guardian on 11 October 2022)
Ɖ Ruśn prezidnt z mcñ sviłnz sufr fr ɖ s’xesz v Ycren’z cǎnṭ’fnsiv
Tyzde 11 Octobr 2022
Ɖ misîlz ɖt hv rênd dǎn on Ycreńn sitiz far fṛm ɖ fruntlîn sins Munde mornñ, strîcñ plêgrǎndz n uɖr sviłn targits, r rtalieśn fr ɖ blast at ɖ Crć brij btwn Ruśa n Crîmīa. Bt it z Vḷdīmir Pūtin’z rej at ɖ brōdr s’xes v ɖ Ycreńn cǎnṭ’fnsiv ɖt hz śiftd ɖ wor fṛm a grîndñ militri stelmet intu a mor denjṛs fêz. Ɖ Ruśn prezidnt hz riylîzd ɖt h z luzñ on ɖ grǎnd; ɖt mejr dmocṛsiz wl nt īẓli b bŭlid ǎt v s’portñ Cyīv; n consiqntli ɖt h cn no longr cǎnt on Ycren’z ivnćl cpićleśn. Hiz rspons – anxeśn n moḅlîześn – hz onli incrist ɖ preśr on him, crietñ hayr xpcteśnz amñ hōciś dmestic ilīts v hǎ far h wl g, n ełnetñ brōdr p’liticl s’port. Ɖ frst deʈs v moḅlîzd soljrz wr rportd ɖs wīc.
Ẃl Ruśa canot ssten ɖs ret v atac – 80 misîlz on Munde alon – ɖ sviłn deʈs n damij t wōtr n pǎr fsiḷtiz wl cntiny. Ɖo ɖ asōlt hz so far stifnd rzistns, rɖr ɖn sapñ mrāl, ɖ aproć v wintr n ɖ dtirịreśn v infṛstrucćr wl tec ɖer tol on sviłnz. Ycren wl hv t ćūz btwn dployñ er-dfns sistmz t pṛtct sitiz, or imployñ ɖm in its cǎnṭ’fnsiv.
Wl Mr Pūtin nǎ g frɖr? Ɖs wor’z rvrḅreśnz r olrdi flt far bynd Ycren’z bordrz. Ɖ IMF wornd on Tyzde ɖt ɖr z a growñ risc v globl rseśn nxt yir dy in part t ɖ fōlǎt. Az Josep Borrell, ɖ YY foṛn-poḷsi ćīf, obzrvd in a strîcñ spīć, ɖs z a wrld “ẃr evrʈñ z biyñ weṗnîzd”. Mor frîtnñli, Mr Pūtin hz olso rtrnd t ɖ ńclir blacmeil ɖt h frst atmtd in sprñ; nǎ hiz desṗreśn mcs ɖ ʈret mor sirịs. Jo Bîdn last wīc wornd ɖt ɖ wrld wz ɖ closist it hd cm t ńclir ctastṛfi sins ɖ Kbn misîlcrîsis 60 yirz ago, n cd fes Arṃgedn f Ruśa yzz a tacticl ńclir wepn. A tacticl wepn wd b far mor devstetñ ɖn ɖ bomz dropt on Hrośima n Nagsaci, ẃć md ɖ wrld vǎ nvr agn.
So far, ɖr r no sînz v Ruśa pripẹrñ sć wepnz fr ys. Ɖ asōlt on Cyīv, Lviv n Zaporīźa z a rmîndr ɖt h hz uɖr brūtl mīnz v atmtñ t impoz hiz wil; ńclir wepnz r a last rzort. Ɖr z no gaṛnti ɖt a lōnć ordr wd b carid ǎt. Ɖ YS wornñ v “caṭstrofic” consiqnsz śrli weiz on ɖ mîndz v Ruśn hardlînrz, n Ćîna n India hv dǎtlis md ɖer dis’pruvl clir. Nnɖles, it nǎ apirz a mor sirịs posbiḷti ɖn it sīmd īvn ɖs sprñ.
Z ɖr an oltrṇtiv t frɖr esc̣leśn? Ruśa wd lîc t frīz ɖs conflict: ɖ Cremlin sjsts ɖt it z opn t pīstōcs wɖ Ycren ʈru mīdietrz – bt līdñ vôsz simlteńsli pṛclem maxiṃlist objctivz includñ reźīmćenj. Ycreńnz n uɖr obzrvrz cnclud ɖt eni sīsfîr wd b yzd bî Mosco az an oṗtyṇti t rīgrūp n riarm, streñʈ̇nñ its forsz fr ɖ nxt fêz v ɖ wor.
Soḷdaṛti wɖ Cyīv in ɖ fes v ɖs ʈret z isnśl. Bt cer, az wel az cnvix́n, z nīdd. Ɖ G7 wz rît t stet clirli on Tyzde ɖt it standz frmli wɖ Ycren n wl pṛvîd it wɖ fînanśl, hymaṇterịn, militri, dipḷmatic n līgl s’port “fr az loñ az it tecs”. Līdrz mst mnten ɖ closist woć on Ruśa’z planz. Ɖt includz alrtnis t ɖ mni wez in ẃć Mosco me atmt t xact rvnj agnst ɖoz bacñ Cyīv. Bt it z, v cors, Ycren’z ppl hu r at gretist risc. Ńclir or cnvnśnl, ɖ ʈret t ɖm hz nvr bn gretr in ɖs conflict.
