Ɖ ōfl truʈ z dōnñ: Pūtin me win in Ycren. Ɖ rzult wd b ctastṛfi
(Transcription of an article published in the Observer on 24 April 2022)
A Ruśn vicṭri wd heṛld a ny ej v instbiḷti, ic̣nomic fragmnteśn, hungr fr miłnz n sośl unrest
Sîmn Tizdl, Súnde 24 Epril 2022
Ɖ contrast wz starṭlñ. In Ny Yorc, António Guterres, ɖ YN secṛtri jenṛl, lōnćt a b’letd, despṛtli nīdd iniṣ́tiv t hōlt ɖ wor in Ycren. “At ɖs tîm v gret peṛl n consiqns, h [Guterres] wd lîc t dscus rjnt steps t brñ abt pīs,” hiz spocsmn sd. Ɖ YN ćīf, h rvild, wz pṛpozñ imīɉt, in-prsn tōcs wɖ Vḷdīmir Pūtin in Mosco n Volodimir Zelensci in Cyīv.
At rufli ɖ sem tîm az ɖs hopfl dveḷpmnt unfoldd, ɖ YC’z Boris Jonsn, rîdñ a “Partiget” gt’we plein t India, wz cuḷrḟli ruḅśñ pīs eḟts. Pūtin, h clemd, wz an untruswrɖi reptîl. “I riyli d’nt si hǎ ɖ Ycreńnz cn īẓli sit dǎn n cm t sm cnd v acoṃdeśn. Hǎ cn y ngośiet wɖ a croc̣dîl ẃn it’s got yr leg in its jwz?” Jonsn asct.
Ɖs gepñ disc̣nct z dubli dstrbñ. It sjsts lac v coorḍneśn btwn ɖ YN ćīf n a prṃnnt membr v ɖ YN s’kṛticaunsl on hǎ bst t pṛsid. It olso hîlîts a wîdr probḷm: dvrjñ, smtmz opozñ, oceźṇli slf-srvñ, aproćz t ɖ crîsis bî wstn līdrz hu hv hiɖrtu trumṗtd ɖer yṇti v prṗs.
Ɖ ǎtrej in wstn cuntriz sparct bî Pūtin’z 24 Febrri inveźn z startñ t fed. Lîcwz ɖ brst v opṭmizm ɖt foloud Ycren’z s’xes in rpelñ ɖ Ruśn advans arnd Cyīv. Nǎ, az Mosco bginz a hyj, slo-mośn ofnsiv in ɖ īst, cnsrn groz ɖt ɖs conflict hz no endpônt n ɖt ɖ inorṃs ic̣nomic n hymn damij ɖt rzults me b prṃnnt – n globl.
Jonsn, tipicli, z nt lcñ mć bynd ɖ preznt momnt. Ɖ YC n Nato, h sd, wd jst “cīp gwñ wɖ ɖ straṭji” v impozñ sañśnz on Ruśa n s’playñ wepnz t Cyīv. Jonsn s’ports a fri, indipndnt Ycren bt, lîc uɖr alaynslīdrz, apirz t lac a ʈt-ʈru, loñ-trm plan t aćiv it. Ẃt f Ycreńn forsz start luzñ? Ẃt f ɖ cuntri z ptiśnd, or nirz c’laps?
Ɖ prîs v fełr – ɖ tru cost v a Pūtin vicṭri – cd b staġrñ. It z ptnṣ́li uns’portbl fr frax́s wstn dmocṛsiz n purr cuntriz alîc, bset bî simlteńs pospandemic s’kṛti, eṇji, fūd, infleśn n clîṃt crîsīz. Yt ǎt v mîopic slf-inṭrest ovr iśuz sć az Ruśn ôl n gas imports, n fṛm fir v wîdr esc̣leśn, wstn līdrz duc ɖ tuf ćôsz ɖt cd enśur Ycren’z svîvl n hlp miṭget sć ilz.
Ɖ past wīc frniśt a grim glims v ɖ fyćr ɖt awêts f Pūtin z ebl t cntiny t wej wor wɖ impyṇti, cmit mor hīṇs crîmz, ʈretn ńclir n cemicl blacmeil n traś ɖ YN ćartr. Drasticli dǎngredñ its groʈfōrcasts dy t ɖ conflict, ɖ Inṭnaśnl Munitri Fund pridictd globl ic̣nomic fragmnteśn, rîzñ dét n sośl unrest.
Devid Malpas, hed v ɖ Wrldbanc, sd a “hymn ctastṛfi” lūmd az an unpresdntd, esṭmetd 37% rîz in fūdprîsz, cōzd bî wor-rletd dsrupśn t s’plîz, pśt miłnz intu poṿti, incrist malńtriśn, n rdyst fundñ fr edyceśn n hlʈcer fr ɖ līst wel-of.
Mor ɖn 5 miłn ppl hv fled Ycren in tū munʈs, n mor wl folo, xaṣbetñ an inṭnaśnl mîgreśn imrjnsi ɖt xtndz fṛm Afgaṇstan t ɖ Shel. In drǎt-hit īst Africa, ɖ Wrld Fūdprogram sz 20 miłn ppl me fes starveśn ɖs yir. Pūtin’z wor dd nt criet ɖ drǎt, bt ɖ YN wornz it cd hrt eḟts t rdys globl hītñ, ɖr-bî triġrñ frɖr dsplesmnt n forst mîgreśn.
Ɖ brōdr, neġtiv p’liticl impact v ɖ wor, śd it rej on indefiṇtli, z olmst incalkḷbl. Ɖ YN’z fyćr az an oʈorittiv globl foṛm, lwmecr n pīscīpr z in jeṗdi, az mor ɖn 200 formr ofiślz wornd Guterres last wīc. At risc, tù, z ɖ creḍbiḷti v ɖ inṭnaśnl cort v justis, huz injuñśn t wɖdrw wz scornd bî Pūtin, n ɖ intîr sistm v worcrîmz proṣkśnz.
In trmz v deṃcratic normz n hymn rîts, ɖ fl or parśl subɉgeśn v Ycren wd spel dzastr fr ɖ inṭnaśnl rūlz-best ordr – n a trîumf fr ōṭcrats evrẃr. Ẃt mesij wd it snd, fr xampl, t Ćîna ovr Tîwan, or indd t Pūtin az h cuvits ɖ vulnṛbl Bōltic rpublics? Izḷmist terrists hu nǎ frtivli plot t xplôt ɖ wst’s Ycren dstrax́n wd reliś sć a vicṭri fr vayḷns.
Fełr t stop ɖ wor, resk Ycren n puniś Ruśa’z rogreźīm t ɖ fŭlist xtnt poṣbl wd cm at an ispeṣ́li hî prîs fr Yṛp n ɖ YY. In prospect z a secnd cold wor wɖ prṃnnt Nato besīz on Ruśa’z bordrz, masivli incrist dfnșpendñ, an axeḷretñ ńclir-armz rês, unsīsñ sîbr n inḟmeśn worfér, endemic eṇjiśorṭjz, roc̣tñ livñcosts, n mor Frenć-stîl, Ruśn-bact rîtwñ popylist xtrimizm.
In śort, ɖ dōn v a ny ej v instbiḷti. Ẃ on rʈ wd poḷtiśnz sć az America’z Jo Bîdn, Jrṃni’s Olaf Scholz, n Frans’z Emmanuel Macron toḷret so frōt n denjṛs a fyćr ẃn, bî tecñ a mor r’bust stand nǎ, ɖe mt privnt mć v it fṛm mtirịlîzñ? Bî s’pozidli avôdñ riscs tde, ɖe enśur a mć riscịr tmoro.
Sndñ wepnz n bst wśz z nt inuf. Cnfŕñ last wīc, wstn līdrz dbetd pṛvîdñ s’kṛtigaṛntìz fr Ycren aftr ɖ wor. Ol wel n gd. Bt ɖs wor z haṗnñ nǎ. Hu wl gaṛnti Ycren’z svîvl in ɖ poṣbli dsîsiv nxt fy wīcs? Hu, f pś cmz t śuv, wl muv bynd trenñmiśnz n pṛvîd d’rect, in-cuntri militri s’port?
Let’s gt riyl. Fr ol its herǒizm n sacṛfîs, Ycren me lūz ɖs fît. Dredfl ɖo it sǎndz, Pūtin cd win. F ɖ wst so abandnz its prínsiplz n valyz t let ɖt hapn, ɖ loñ-trm prîs, fr evrwn, wl b a hol ny wrld v pen.
